Bells Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Conway
Tract 45051070400 · Horry County, SC · pop 6,748 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 45051070400 sits in the Bells Bay area of Conway eviction risk, SC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. Population here is 6,748. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Conway and the region
Centroid at 33.8403, -79.0953 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bells Bay scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Bells Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 87
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 964Total filings over 5 yrs
- 19.98%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.1%Peak (2013)
- 220Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.9%Housing insecurity
- 14.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.2%Food insecurity
- 20.8%SNAP enrollment
- 12.9%Transit barriers
- 15.4%No health insurance
- 19.8%Frequent mental distress
- 38.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Bells Bay
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Horry County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10.
Food insecurity runs 28.2% against 17.8% nationally. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Horry County average of 44.6%. The filing record is not thin: 964 evictions over 5 years of observation.
At $740 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Conway commands. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 23.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 20.0% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 45051070400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45051070400?
What is the average rent in tract 45051070400?
What is the poverty rate in tract 45051070400?
How socially vulnerable is tract 45051070400?
Is tract 45051070400 considered part of Bells Bay?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45051070400?
What share of households in tract 45051070400 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 45051070400 compare to Conway overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Conway
Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.