Kingston Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Conway

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10.

Average gross rent is $690, 20% below the Conway average. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Horry County average of 44.6%.

Court records carry 308 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 20.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 17.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $57,407, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.