Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Chestnut Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Birmingham
Tract 01073004702 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 3,022 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Here is how census tract 01073004702, in Chestnut Hill Historic District in Birmingham eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 3,022. It lands near the 40th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,136 monthly, set against $101,415 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,727
Renter share35.7%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$101,415
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Birmingham and the region
Centroid at 33.5104, -86.7697 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chestnut Hill Historic District scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Birmingham
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,136 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birmingham
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birmingham
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birmingham
3.0
How Chestnut Hill Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 21%Grade A
- 56%Grade B
- 6%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 271Total filings over 11 yrs
- 3.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2016)
- 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chestnut Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.9%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Hill Historic District
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.3 and above the Alabama statewide average of 4.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 5.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 271 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 3.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.2% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 01073004702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073004702?
Census tract 01073004702 in the Chestnut Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01073004702?
Median gross rent is $1,136/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01073004702?
6.4% of residents in tract 01073004702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,022.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01073004702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 3th, minority 27th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 01073004702 considered part of Chestnut Hill Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01073004702 fall within Chestnut Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01073004702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 271 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01073004702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.74% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 01073004702 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 01073004702 compare to Birmingham overall?
Tract 01073004702 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Birmingham at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 01073004702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Birmingham
Top eight tracts in Birmingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AL
Woodlawn
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
North Birmingham
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
North Birmingham
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
Marks Village
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
Ensley
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
Smithfield
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
Fourth Avenue Historic District
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AL
01073013100
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
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