Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Chestnut Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Birmingham
Tract 01073004702 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 3,022 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 01073004702 covers part of the Chestnut Hill Historic District area of Birmingham, AL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,022 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,727
Renter share35.7%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$101,415
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Birmingham and the region
Centroid at 33.5104, -86.7697 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chestnut Hill Historic District scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Birmingham
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,136 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birmingham
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birmingham
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birmingham
3.0
How Chestnut Hill Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 21%Grade A
- 56%Grade B
- 6%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 271Total filings over 11 yrs
- 3.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2016)
- 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Chestnut Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.9%Food insecurity
- 3.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 12.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Hill Historic District
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Food insecurity runs 5.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Jefferson County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 271 evictions over 11 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.2% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 01073004702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073004702?
Census tract 01073004702 in the Chestnut Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 01073004702?
Median gross rent is $1,136/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 01073004702?
6.4% of residents in tract 01073004702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,022.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 01073004702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 3th, minority 27th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 01073004702 considered part of Chestnut Hill Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01073004702 fall within Chestnut Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01073004702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 271 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01073004702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.74% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 01073004702 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 01073004702 compare to Birmingham overall?
Tract 01073004702 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Birmingham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 01073004702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Birmingham
Top eight tracts in Birmingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AL
01073005103
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
East Lake
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
Hobson
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
Marks Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
01073003600
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
01073005200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
Marks Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AL
Ensley
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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