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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Chestnut Hill Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Birmingham

Tract 01073004701 · Jefferson County, AL · pop 3,118 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 01073004701 sits in the Chestnut Hill Historic District area of Birmingham eviction risk, AL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. It is home to 3,118 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 32% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,255
Renter share64.0%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$53,086

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Chestnut Hill Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 71 tracts In Birmingham
Very Low
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#102 of 189 tracts In Jefferson County
Moderate
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#612 of 1,436 tracts In Alabama
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Birmingham and the region

Centroid at 33.5075, -86.7836 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chestnut Hill Historic District scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Birmingham
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Alabama legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,115 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Birmingham
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Birmingham
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Birmingham
3.0

How Chestnut Hill Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chestnut Hill Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 0047014.0Birminghamparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 668Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2002)
  • 55Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 01073004701
Filings dropped 32% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chestnut Hill Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Hill Historic District

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.8/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 8.2% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 668 eviction filings across 11 observed years.

Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2002, when 4.8% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 01073004701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 01073004701?

Census tract 01073004701 in the Chestnut Hill Historic District neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 01073004701?

Median gross rent is $1,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 01073004701?

10.6% of residents in tract 01073004701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,118.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 01073004701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 2th, minority 21th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 01073004701 considered part of Chestnut Hill Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 01073004701 fall within Chestnut Hill Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 01073004701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 668 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 01073004701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.55% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 01073004701 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 01073004701 compare to Birmingham overall?

Tract 01073004701 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Birmingham at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Birmingham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 01073004701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 4% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Birmingham

Top eight tracts in Birmingham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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