Badger Eviction Risk: Lower

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.3/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, local political climate reads 1.8/10.

Average gross rent is $1,969, 21% above the Badger average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

The voucher gap is 18.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Fairbanks North Star Borough average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the AK average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $107,083.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.