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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Dysart Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Avondale

Tract 04013061010 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,180 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 04013061010 sits in the Dysart Ranch area of Litchfield Park, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 6,180. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,603
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$124,339

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Dysart Ranch
Very High
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Avondale
Moderate
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#602 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Moderate
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Avondale and the region

Centroid at 33.4990, -112.3595 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dysart Ranch scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Avondale
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,145 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Avondale
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Avondale
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Avondale
4.7

How Dysart Ranch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dysart Ranch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 061010Avondale: 4.14.1Avondaleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2001)
  • 3Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130610102001: 4 filings (3.22/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (2.41/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (0.80/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (0.80/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (1.06/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Dysart Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dysart Ranch

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions over 5 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Average gross rent is $2,145, 12% above the Litchfield Park average.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2001, when 3.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013061010

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013061010?

Census tract 04013061010 in the Dysart Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013061010?

Median gross rent is $2,145/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013061010?

4.4% of residents in tract 04013061010 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,180.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013061010?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 46th, minority 50th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 04013061010 considered part of Dysart Ranch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013061010 fall within Dysart Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013061010?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013061010 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.66% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013061010 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013061010 compare to Avondale overall?

Tract 04013061010 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Avondale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Avondale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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