Neighborhood · Avondale, AZ

Dysart Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 11,599 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Dysart Ranch takes in 3 census tracts of Avondale, AZ and houses 11,599 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 32.7% citywide, putting Dysart Ranch 13.2% over its own city.

29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $2,200, 20% above the Avondale average of $1,832.

Filings are well documented here: 29 across 3 observed tracts. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10. The voucher gap is 12.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

SNAP participation is 6.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2005, when filings touched 6.6% of renter households.

That places it #8 of 8 neighborhoods in Avondale. Judgments average 1.5% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Dysart Ranch vs Avondale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

45.9% +40%

Avondale: 32.7%

Average gross rent

$2,200 +20%

Avondale: $1,832

Average HH income

$130,537 +61%

Avondale: $81,260

Poverty rate

5.0% -54%

Avondale: 10.9%

Renter share

13.4% -65%

Avondale: 38.4%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Dysart Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3

Why Dysart Ranch scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts

2.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.1–5.1 across tracts

5.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Rent control risk

46% of income on rent · Range 6.6–8.3 across tracts

7.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.6–2.0 across tracts

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

13% renter households · Range 3.8–7.9 across tracts

4.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.7–6.4 across tracts

5.3

Economic stress

5.0% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.6 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.7–7.1 across tracts

6.3

Risk score comparison

Dysart Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Dysart Ranch?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0 points from 3 to 3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

3.0 3.0 3.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Dysart Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
04013061010	3	6,180	43%	$2,145
04013061020	3	3,576	49%	$2,355
04013061021	3	1,843	50%	$2,083

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 27%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 52%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 59%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 10%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Dysart Ranch

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

29Total filings (sum)
3.39%Avg annual filing rate
6.6%Peak year (2005)
3.58%Latest filed (2005)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dysart Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.0%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility shutoff threat
9.6%Food insecurity
5.9%SNAP enrollment
8.4%No health insurance
24.3%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Dysart Ranch

What is the eviction-risk score for Dysart Ranch?

Dysart Ranch scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Dysart Ranch compare to Avondale overall?

Dysart Ranch scores 1.1 points lower than Avondale overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,200 vs $1,832.

What is the average rent in Dysart Ranch?

Average gross rent in Dysart Ranch is $2,200/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Dysart Ranch residents are renters?

13% of Dysart Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Avondale). The neighborhood has 11,599 residents.

Is Dysart Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Dysart Ranch sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Dysart Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Dysart Ranch is census tract 04013061010 (score 3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.

How safe is Dysart Ranch for landlords?

Dysart Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Avondale as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Dysart Ranch?

Dysart Ranch has 11,904 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (58.4%), Hispanic / Latino (26.5%), Other / Multiracial (6.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Dysart Ranch

3.2 Rancho Santa Fe 3 tracts · pop 7,479 4 LaLoma Ranch 2 tracts · pop 10,214 3.2 Pebblecreek 3 tracts · pop 18,269 4.1 Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe 2 tracts · pop 10,418 3.9 Coldwater Springs 4 tracts · pop 24,118 5 Litchfield Junction 3 tracts · pop 10,965

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Avondale

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Dysart Ranch.

3.8 Coldwater Springs 4 tracts · pop 24,118 3.9 Sage Creek 1 tracts · pop 6,973 3.9 Corte Sierra I 1 tracts · pop 6,265 3.9 Casitas II at Rancho Santa Fe 1 tracts · pop 5,425 4.2 Tierra at Rancho Santa Fe 2 tracts · pop 10,418 4.5 Alamar 1 tracts · pop 3,521

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