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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Desert Wind II Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013216816 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,416 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

04013216816 is a census tract in the Desert Wind II area of Scottsdale, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 20% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,972
Renter share36.9%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$118,796

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Desert Wind II
Very Low
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 61 tracts In Phoenix
Very Low
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#720 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6116, -111.9074 · click any tract to drill in

Why Desert Wind II scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,121 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
2.0

How Desert Wind II compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Desert Wind II risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 216816Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 19Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.09%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.9%Peak (2002)
  • 2Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040132168162001: 4 filings (3.36/100 renter HHs)2002: 7 filings (5.88/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (2.52/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (2.52/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (1.18/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Desert Wind II. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Desert Wind II

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 4.1% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 19 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2002, when 5.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.7/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013216816

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216816?

Census tract 04013216816 in the Desert Wind II neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013216816?

Median gross rent is $2,121/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216816?

6.1% of residents in tract 04013216816 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,416.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216816?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 11th, minority 28th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 04013216816 considered part of Desert Wind II?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216816 fall within Desert Wind II (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216816?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216816 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.09% of renter households, peaking at 5.9% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013216816 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013216816 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013216816 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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