Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Firerock Eviction Risk: Lower , Fountain Hills
Tract 04013216821 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 5,665 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 04013216821 sits in the Firerock area of Fountain Hills eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,878
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$116,618
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fountain Hills and the region
Centroid at 33.5892, -111.7497 · click any tract to drill in
Why Firerock scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fountain Hills
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,785 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fountain Hills
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fountain Hills
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fountain Hills
5.1
How Firerock compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 119Total filings over 5 yrs
- 9.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.1%Peak (2001)
- 23Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 44% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Firerock. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.4%Food insecurity
- 4.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 10.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Firerock
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Food insecurity runs 6.4% against 17.8% nationally. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Housing insecurity runs 4.6% against 14.2% nationally. Court records carry 119 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. The worst year on record was 2001, when 16.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013216821
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013216821?
Census tract 04013216821 in the Firerock neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013216821?
Median gross rent is $1,785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013216821?
8.2% of residents in tract 04013216821 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,665.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013216821?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 14th, minority 10th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 04013216821 considered part of Firerock?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013216821 fall within Firerock (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013216821?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 119 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013216821 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.14% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013216821 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013216821 compare to Fountain Hills overall?
Tract 04013216821 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Fountain Hills at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fountain Hills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fountain Hills
Top eight tracts in Fountain Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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