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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Tempe Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04013319705 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,915 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

04013319705 is a census tract in the Tempe Junction area of Tempe, AZ. It scores 4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,915 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 21% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,415
Renter share44.2%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$85,568

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 9 tracts In Tempe Junction
Very Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#28 of 41 tracts In Tempe
Low
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#353 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#627 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tempe and the region

Centroid at 33.3966, -111.9521 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tempe Junction scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tempe
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,335 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tempe
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tempe
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tempe
4.5

How Tempe Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tempe Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 319705Tempe: 4.24.2Tempeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 213Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.6%Peak (2005)
  • 48Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040133197052001: 46 filings (4.94/100 renter HHs)2002: 33 filings (3.54/100 renter HHs)2003: 43 filings (4.61/100 renter HHs)2004: 43 filings (4.61/100 renter HHs)2005: 48 filings (4.57/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tempe Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tempe Junction

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. At $1,335 a month, rents run 23% under what the rest of Tempe commands.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Cost burden runs 53% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Court records carry 213 eviction filings across 5 observed years. The worst year on record was 2005, when 4.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $85,568. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013319705

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013319705?

Census tract 04013319705 in the Tempe Junction neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013319705?

Median gross rent is $1,335/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013319705?

7.9% of residents in tract 04013319705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,915.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013319705?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 86th, minority 71th, housing 59th.
Q5

Is tract 04013319705 considered part of Tempe Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013319705 fall within Tempe Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013319705?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 213 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013319705 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.45% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013319705 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013319705 compare to Tempe overall?

Tract 04013319705 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Tempe at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tempe eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tempe

Top eight tracts in Tempe ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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