Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Spur Cross Eviction Risk: Lower , Queen Creek
Tract 04013816901 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 4,911 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
04013816901 is a census tract in the Spur Cross area of Queen Creek, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,911 residents. 17% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,613
Renter share5.5%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$144,120
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
31
th percentile
Low
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Queen Creek and the region
Centroid at 33.2393, -111.5956 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spur Cross scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Queen Creek
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,651 rent vs county FMR
8.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Queen Creek
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Queen Creek
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Queen Creek
3.7
How Spur Cross compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 13
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 28%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Spur Cross. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.3%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 14.5%Frequent mental distress
- 21.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spur Cross
The voucher gap is 36.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.6/10.
Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $2,651, 20% above the Queen Creek average.
SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 6% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013816901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013816901?
Census tract 04013816901 in the Spur Cross neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013816901?
Median gross rent is $2,651/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013816901?
3.1% of residents in tract 04013816901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,911.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013816901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 28th, minority 48th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 04013816901 considered part of Spur Cross?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013816901 fall within Spur Cross (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013816901 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013816901 compare to Queen Creek overall?
Tract 04013816901 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Queen Creek at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Queen Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Queen Creek
Top eight tracts in Queen Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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