Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Green Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004324 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,667 · 92% of tract blocks fall in Green Valley

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 04019004324 in Green Valley ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,667 residents. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

79% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 62% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,663 monthly, set against $56,328 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 24% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 5% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units1,764

Renter share23.5%

SVI overall0.15

Poverty rate5.3%

Median income$56,328

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Green Valley and the region

Centroid at 31.7892, -111.0148 · click any tract to drill in

Why Green Valley scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Green Valley

7.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

5.3% poverty · this tract

1.3

Supply constraint

$1,663 rent vs county FMR

7.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Green Valley

9.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Green Valley

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Green Valley

7.0

How Green Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

29%Socioeconomic
22%Household composition
8%Racial/ethnic minority
17%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

2.4%Housing insecurity
1.9%Utility-shutoff threat
4.4%Food insecurity
3.3%SNAP enrollment
3.1%Transit barriers
4.7%No health insurance
8.5%Frequent mental distress
40.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Green Valley

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Green Valley eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 2.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 1.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004324

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004324?

Census tract 04019004324 in Green Valley scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04019004324?

Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004324?

5.3% of residents in tract 04019004324 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,667.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004324?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 22th, minority 8th, housing 17th.

What share of households in tract 04019004324 struggle to pay rent?

About 2.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 1.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04019004324 compare to Green Valley overall?

Tract 04019004324 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Green Valley at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Green Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Green Valley

Top eight tracts in Green Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.