Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Manzanita Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Drexel Heights
Tract 04019004310 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,618 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
04019004310 is a census tract in the Manzanita Manor area of Drexel Heights, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,618 residents. Cost burden runs 25% here against 43.8% across Pima County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units959
Renter share9.9%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$93,995
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Drexel Heights and the region
Centroid at 32.1691, -111.0316 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manzanita Manor scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Drexel Heights
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,164 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Drexel Heights
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Drexel Heights
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Drexel Heights
7.2
How Manzanita Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 151Total filings over 12 yrs
- 10.54%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.5%Peak (2004)
- 11Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Manzanita Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.1%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 15.2%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manzanita Manor
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.4/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. It sits 0.9 points below the Pima County average of 3.9.
The filing record is not thin: 151 evictions over 12 years of observation. At $1,164 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Drexel Heights commands. SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 18.5% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004310
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004310?
Census tract 04019004310 in the Manzanita Manor neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004310?
Median gross rent is $1,164/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004310?
5.6% of residents in tract 04019004310 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,618.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004310?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 50th, minority 84th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004310 considered part of Manzanita Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004310 fall within Manzanita Manor (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004310?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004310 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.54% of renter households, peaking at 18.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004310 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004310 compare to Drexel Heights overall?
Tract 04019004310 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Drexel Heights at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Drexel Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Drexel Heights
Top eight tracts in Drexel Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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