Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Lakes at Rancho El Dorado Eviction Risk: Lower , Maricopa

Tract 04021001709 · Pinal, AZ · pop 6,907 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 04021001709 in the Lakes at Rancho El Dorado area of Maricopa, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Against Pinal County at 37.6%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 5% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units2,596

Renter share9.6%

SVI overall0.22

Poverty rate5.4%

Median income$94,678

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Maricopa and the region

Centroid at 33.0732, -112.0048 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakes at Rancho El Dorado scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Maricopa

5.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.1

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

5.4% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$1,788 rent vs county FMR

4.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Maricopa

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Maricopa

4.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Maricopa

5.5

How Lakes at Rancho El Dorado compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

29%Socioeconomic
57%Household composition
67%Racial/ethnic minority
5%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.4%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
9.0%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
10.8%No health insurance
16.8%Frequent mental distress
28.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakes at Rancho El Dorado

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10. It sits 0.8 points below the Pinal County average of 3.8. Average gross rent is $1,788, 11% below the Maricopa average.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $94,678.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 04021001709

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04021001709?

Census tract 04021001709 in the Lakes at Rancho El Dorado neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04021001709?

Median gross rent is $1,788/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04021001709?

5.4% of residents in tract 04021001709 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,907.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04021001709?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 57th, minority 67th, housing 5th.

Is tract 04021001709 considered part of Lakes at Rancho El Dorado?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04021001709 fall within Lakes at Rancho El Dorado (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 04021001709 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04021001709 compare to Maricopa overall?

Tract 04021001709 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Maricopa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Maricopa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Maricopa

Top eight tracts in Maricopa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.