Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
College Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Little Rock
Tract 05119002102 ·
Pulaski County, AR · pop 4,058 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 05119002102 in the College Terrace area of Little Rock, AR reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,058. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%Stable renters 24%Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,842
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate27.2%
Median income$36,460
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In College Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
97th percentile
#3 of 58 tracts In Little Rock
Very High
Within county
74th percentile
#29 of 107 tracts In Pulaski County
Elevated
Within state
85th percentile
#128 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Little Rock and the region
Centroid at 34.7246, -92.3460 · click any tract to drill in
Why College Terrace scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Little Rock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.2% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$1,025 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Rock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Rock
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Rock
2.0
How College Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
90%Socioeconomic
62%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
93%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
25.0%Housing insecurity
20.0%Utility-shutoff threat
32.2%Food insecurity
24.2%SNAP enrollment
17.3%Transit barriers
14.8%No health insurance
21.6%Frequent mental distress
41.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in College Terrace
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $36,460 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10.
Against Pulaski County at 42.5%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. Housing insecurity runs 25.0% against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation runs 24.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Pulaski County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the AR average is 3.8, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 05119002102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119002102?
Census tract 05119002102 in the College Terrace neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05119002102?
Median gross rent is $1,025/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05119002102?
27.2% of residents in tract 05119002102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,058.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05119002102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 62th, minority 81th, housing 93th.
Q5
Is tract 05119002102 considered part of College Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119002102 fall within College Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 05119002102 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05119002102 compare to Little Rock overall?
Tract 05119002102 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock
Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.