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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Little Rock

Tract 05119004801 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 2,171 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 05119004801 covers part of the Forest Hill area of Little Rock, AR, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,171. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 24% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,215
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate21.4%
Median income$62,772

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Forest Hill
Elevated
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 58 tracts In Little Rock
Elevated
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#52 of 107 tracts In Pulaski County
Moderate
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#288 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Rock and the region

Centroid at 34.7478, -92.3058 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Hill scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Little Rock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.4% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,141 rent vs county FMR
6.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Rock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Rock
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Rock
2.0

How Forest Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 0048013.3Little Rockparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Hill

Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 42nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

41% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Pulaski County average of 3.9 closely. Average gross rent is $1,141, close to the Little Rock average.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $62,772.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 05119004801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119004801?

Census tract 05119004801 in the Forest Hill neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05119004801?

Median gross rent is $1,141/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05119004801?

21.4% of residents in tract 05119004801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,171.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05119004801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 2th, minority 38th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 05119004801 considered part of Forest Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119004801 fall within Forest Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05119004801 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05119004801 compare to Little Rock overall?

Tract 05119004801 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 05119004801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock

Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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