Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Little Rock

Tract 05119004801 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 2,171 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Tract 05119004801 covers the Forest Hill neighborhood of Little Rock in Arkansas. Home to 2,171 residents, it scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 24% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,141 a month against an average household income of $62,772 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 24% Owners 59%

Tract context

Occupied units1,215

Renter share40.9%

SVI overall0.19

Poverty rate21.4%

Median income$62,772

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Rock and the region

Centroid at 34.7478, -92.3058 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Hill scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Little Rock

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Arkansas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

21.4% poverty · this tract

5.3

Supply constraint

$1,141 rent vs county FMR

6.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Little Rock

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Little Rock

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Little Rock

2.0

How Forest Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

44%Socioeconomic
2%Household composition
38%Racial/ethnic minority
34%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

21%Grade A
31%Grade B
47%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.1%Housing insecurity
9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
13.4%Food insecurity
8.4%SNAP enrollment
8.2%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
29.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Hill

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pulaski County average of 4.5 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05119004801

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119004801?

Census tract 05119004801 in the Forest Hill neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 05119004801?

Median gross rent is $1,141/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 05119004801?

21.4% of residents in tract 05119004801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,171.

How socially vulnerable is tract 05119004801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 2th, minority 38th, housing 34th.

Is tract 05119004801 considered part of Forest Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119004801 fall within Forest Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 05119004801 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 05119004801 compare to Little Rock overall?

Tract 05119004801 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 05119004801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock

Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.