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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Little Rock

Tract 05119980200 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 445 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Forest Hill in Little Rock anchors census tract 05119980200, which lands at 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 17% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 23% of renter households, a moderate level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is about $854 a month. Renters make up 100% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 77% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units39
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate33.3%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Forest Hill
Very High
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 58 tracts In Little Rock
Elevated
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#32 of 107 tracts In Pulaski County
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#176 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Rock and the region

Centroid at 34.7491, -92.3302 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Hill scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Little Rock
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.3% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$854 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Little Rock
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Little Rock
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Little Rock
2.0

How Forest Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 980200Little Rock: 2.22.2Little Rockparent cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Hill

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pulaski County average of 4.5 and in line with the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05119980200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119980200?

Census tract 05119980200 in the Forest Hill neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05119980200?

Median gross rent is $854/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05119980200?

33.3% of residents in tract 05119980200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 445.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05119980200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 1th, minority 55th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 05119980200 considered part of Forest Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119980200 fall within Forest Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05119980200 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05119980200 compare to Little Rock overall?

Tract 05119980200 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 05119980200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock

Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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