Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Little Rock

Tract 05119001502 · Pulaski County, AR · pop 3,769 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

For landlords sizing up Forest Hill in Little Rock, census tract 05119001502 carries a lower eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. It lands near the 9th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,210 monthly, set against $76,010 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 47% Owners 35%

Tract context

Occupied units2,206

Renter share65.0%

SVI overall0.24

Poverty rate7.9%

Median income$76,010

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Little Rock and the region

Centroid at 34.7606, -92.3070 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Hill scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Little Rock

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Arkansas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

7.9% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$1,210 rent vs county FMR

6.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Little Rock

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Little Rock

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Little Rock

2.0

How Forest Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

39%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

21%Grade A
3%Grade B
3%Grade C
3%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.4%Housing insecurity
5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
8.8%Food insecurity
4.5%SNAP enrollment
5.9%Transit barriers
6.8%No health insurance
15.9%Frequent mental distress
25.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Hill

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pulaski County average of 4.5 and in line with the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 05119001502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05119001502?

Census tract 05119001502 in the Forest Hill neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 05119001502?

Median gross rent is $1,210/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 05119001502?

7.9% of residents in tract 05119001502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,769.

How socially vulnerable is tract 05119001502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 5th, minority 34th, housing 44th.

Is tract 05119001502 considered part of Forest Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05119001502 fall within Forest Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 05119001502 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 05119001502 compare to Little Rock overall?

Tract 05119001502 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Little Rock at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Little Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 05119001502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Little Rock

Top eight tracts in Little Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.