Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 05143010114 · Washington County, AR · pop 3,025
Census tract 05143010114 runs through Fayetteville. With 3,025 residents, it scores 4.7/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 30% of US census tracts.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $943 monthly, set against $52,388 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 84% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units1,696
Renter share83.8%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate22.2%
Median income$52,388
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region
Centroid at 36.1273, -94.1302 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fayetteville scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.2% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$943 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
How Fayetteville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.7%Food insecurity
- 9.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.7%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 4.0 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 05143010114
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010114?
Census tract 05143010114 in Fayetteville scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05143010114?
Median gross rent is $943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010114?
22.2% of residents in tract 05143010114 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,025.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010114?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 68th, minority 23th, housing 68th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 05143010114 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 05143010114 compare to Fayetteville overall?
Tract 05143010114 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville
Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
VA Hill
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
The Vue
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
The Vue
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
The Vue
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
Elm-Erstan-Baker
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05143011105
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
University House
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
Maple Valley
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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