Neighborhood · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

VA Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fayetteville

Tract 05143010704 · Washington County, AR · pop 4,645 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 05143010704 covers the VA Hill area of Fayetteville, home to 4,645 residents. For landlords it grades 5.2/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 47% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $823 a month against an average household income of $24,557 a year, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 98% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 64% Stable renters 34% Owners 2%

Tract context

Occupied units1,944

Renter share98.2%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate38.3%

Median income$24,557

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 36.0779, -94.1722 · click any tract to drill in

Why VA Hill scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fayetteville

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Arkansas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

38.3% poverty · this tract

9.6

Supply constraint

$823 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fayetteville

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fayetteville

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fayetteville

2.5

How VA Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

88%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within VA Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.6%Housing insecurity
14.2%Utility-shutoff threat
26.2%Food insecurity
17.1%SNAP enrollment
16.3%Transit barriers
13.0%No health insurance
26.3%Frequent mental distress
37.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in VA Hill

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 4.0 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05143010704

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010704?

Census tract 05143010704 in the VA Hill neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 05143010704?

Median gross rent is $823/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010704?

38.3% of residents in tract 05143010704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,645.

How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 3th, minority 49th, housing 96th.

Is tract 05143010704 considered part of VA Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05143010704 fall within VA Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 05143010704 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 05143010704 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 05143010704 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.