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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fayetteville

Tract 05143010706 · Washington County, AR · pop 2,164 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 05143010706 sits in Forest Heights in Fayetteville eviction risk, Arkansas eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.4/10. It lands near the 21st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,118 monthly, set against $72,262 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 31% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units954
Renter share54.8%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$72,262

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 25 tracts In Fayetteville
Low
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 54 tracts In Washington County
Elevated
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#378 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 36.0820, -94.1600 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Heights scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5

How Forest Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 010706Fayetteville: 2.32.3Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Heights

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 4.0 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05143010706

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010706?

Census tract 05143010706 in the Forest Heights neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05143010706?

Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010706?

16.1% of residents in tract 05143010706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,164.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010706?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 2th, minority 27th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 05143010706 considered part of Forest Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05143010706 fall within Forest Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05143010706 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05143010706 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 05143010706 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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