Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Bottoms Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001410500 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,081 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

06001410500 is a census tract in the Lower Bottoms area of Oakland, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 49% Owners 13%

Tract context

Occupied units1,064

Renter share87.3%

SVI overall0.88

Poverty rate26.2%

Median income$59,402

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.8101, -122.2889 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Bottoms scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oakland

9.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

26.2% poverty · this tract

6.6

Supply constraint

$1,320 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oakland

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

How Lower Bottoms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

77%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
90%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Bottoms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.0%Housing insecurity
16.3%Utility-shutoff threat
29.6%Food insecurity
33.6%SNAP enrollment
16.0%Transit barriers
8.9%No health insurance
22.0%Frequent mental distress
36.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Bottoms

On the high side, local political climate reads 9.7/10. This is renter territory: 87% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. At $1,320 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Oakland commands. SNAP participation runs 33.6% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001410500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001410500?

Census tract 06001410500 in the Lower Bottoms neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001410500?

Median gross rent is $1,320/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001410500?

26.2% of residents in tract 06001410500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,081.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001410500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 96th, minority 84th, housing 70th.

Is tract 06001410500 considered part of Lower Bottoms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001410500 fall within Lower Bottoms (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001410500 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001410500 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001410500 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001410500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 90% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.