Neighborhood · Ranked #2,663 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Bottoms Eviction Risk: Elevated , Oakland

Tract 06001401800 · Alameda, CA · pop 1,709 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

For landlords sizing up the Lower Bottoms area of Oakland, census tract 06001401800 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,648 monthly, set against $69,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 74% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 25% Owners 26%

Tract context

Occupied units710

Renter share73.9%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate19.5%

Median income$69,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.8095, -122.2983 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Bottoms scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oakland

9.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

19.5% poverty · this tract

4.9

Supply constraint

$1,648 rent vs county FMR

1.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oakland

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

How Lower Bottoms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
90%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lower Bottoms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.3%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
18.0%Food insecurity
18.8%SNAP enrollment
10.9%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
19.5%Frequent mental distress
27.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Bottoms

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oakland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Alameda County average of 5.8 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001401800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001401800?

Census tract 06001401800 in the Lower Bottoms neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001401800?

Median gross rent is $1,648/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001401800?

19.5% of residents in tract 06001401800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,709.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001401800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 44th, minority 82th, housing 90th.

Is tract 06001401800 considered part of Lower Bottoms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001401800 fall within Lower Bottoms (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001401800 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001401800 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001401800 scores 7.7/10, lower than the parent city of Oakland at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001401800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.