3 census tracts · pop 8,066 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10
· range 9.9–9.9
Lower Bottoms is a 3-tract neighborhood of Oakland, CA and houses 8,066 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9.9/10, in the High tier. roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Oakland rate of 30.6%.
What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 9.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. This is a renter market: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Among the 45 mapped neighborhoods of Oakland, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.
The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $2,005, close to the Oakland average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $97,054.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
9.9
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Bottoms vs OaklandHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Bottoms
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
19.2%Housing insecurity
11.9%Utility shutoff threat
21.5%Food insecurity
22.9%SNAP enrollment
7.9%No health insurance
30.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Lower Bottoms
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Bottoms?
Lower Bottoms scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Lower Bottoms compare to Oakland overall?
Lower Bottoms scores 0.3 points higher than Oakland overall (9.6/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,005 vs $1,979.
Q3
What is the average rent in Lower Bottoms?
Average gross rent in Lower Bottoms is $2,005/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Lower Bottoms residents are renters?
72% of Lower Bottoms households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 8,066 residents.
Q5
Is Lower Bottoms a high social-vulnerability area?
Lower Bottoms sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Lower Bottoms have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower Bottoms is census tract 06001401700 (score 9.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.9 to 9.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Lower Bottoms for landlords?
Lower Bottoms carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Bottoms?
Lower Bottoms has 8,391 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (35.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.7%), Hispanic / Latino (17.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
