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Neighborhood · Oakland, CA

Lower Bottoms Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 8,066 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 6.9–8.5

Lower Bottoms is a black-white neighborhood in Oakland with 3 census tracts and a population of 8,066 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 52% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,005/month sits 1% higher than the Oakland citywide average ($1,979).

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Lower Bottoms vs Oakland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
52.3% +71%
Oakland: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$2,005 +1%
Oakland: $1,979
Average HH income
$97,054 0%
Oakland: $97,369
Poverty rate
22.8% +67%
Oakland: 13.7%
Renter share
72.1% +25%
Oakland: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lower Bottoms and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.9–8.5

Why Lower Bottoms scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.7–9.7 across tracts
9.7
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
22.8% below poverty line · Range 4.9–6.6 across tracts
5.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–5.6 across tracts
2.9
Risk score comparison

Lower Bottoms vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lower Bottoms score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Lower Bottoms: 7.77.7Lower BottomsNeighborhoodParent city: 9.99.9Parent cityhost cityState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Lower Bottoms?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 6.9 to 8.5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Lower Bottoms

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001410500 8.5 3,081 43% $1,320
06001401800 7.7 1,709 66% $1,648
06001401700 6.9 3,276 54% $2,835
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 48%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lower Bottoms

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lower Bottoms

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lower Bottoms?

Lower Bottoms scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lower Bottoms compare to Oakland overall?

Lower Bottoms scores 2.2 points lower than Oakland overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,005 vs $1,979.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lower Bottoms?

Average gross rent in Lower Bottoms is $2,005/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lower Bottoms residents are renters?

72% of Lower Bottoms households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 8,066 residents.
Q5

Is Lower Bottoms a high social-vulnerability area?

Lower Bottoms sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Lower Bottoms have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Lower Bottoms is census tract 06001410500 (score 8.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.9 to 8.5, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Lower Bottoms for landlords?

Lower Bottoms carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Lower Bottoms?

Lower Bottoms has 8,391 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (35.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.7%), Hispanic / Latino (17.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lower Bottoms

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lower Bottoms.

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