Neighborhood · Ranked #2,210 of 84,120 nationally

San Pablo Park Eviction Risk: High , Berkeley

Tract 06001423300 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,476 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 06001423300 covers part of the San Pablo Park area of Berkeley, CA, and scores 9.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,476. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

9.8

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 23% Owners 56%

Tract context

Occupied units1,413

Renter share43.2%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate17.2%

Median income$95,927

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Berkeley and the region

Centroid at 37.8573, -122.2842 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Pablo Park scores 9.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Berkeley

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

17.2% poverty · this tract

4.3

Supply constraint

$1,754 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Berkeley

7.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Berkeley

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Berkeley

7.5

How San Pablo Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

44%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
69%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
86%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.9%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
14.4%Food insecurity
14.9%SNAP enrollment
8.4%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
17.3%Frequent mental distress
29.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Pablo Park

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. At $1,754 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Berkeley commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter.

47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $95,927. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001423300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001423300?

Census tract 06001423300 in the San Pablo Park neighborhood scores 9.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001423300?

Median gross rent is $1,754/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001423300?

17.2% of residents in tract 06001423300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,476.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001423300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 64th, minority 69th, housing 43th.

Is tract 06001423300 considered part of San Pablo Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001423300 fall within San Pablo Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001423300 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001423300 compare to Berkeley overall?

Tract 06001423300 scores 9.8/10, higher than the parent city of Berkeley at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berkeley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001423300 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 86% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Berkeley

Top eight tracts in Berkeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.