1 census tracts · pop 3,476 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.8/10
· range 9.8–9.8
San Pablo Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Berkeley, CA, population 3,476. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.8/10, placing it in the High tier. Severe burden reaches 36%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Against a Berkeley baseline of 34.0%, about half of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10. At $1,754 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Berkeley commands.
The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Among the 22 mapped neighborhoods of Berkeley, it ranks #6 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Lorin and LeConte score within a fraction of it.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $95,927. 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 9.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
9.8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
San Pablo Park vs BerkeleyHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in San Pablo Park
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
12.9%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility shutoff threat
14.4%Food insecurity
14.9%SNAP enrollment
5.9%No health insurance
29.0%Any disability
Frequently asked
About San Pablo Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for San Pablo Park?
San Pablo Park scores 9.8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does San Pablo Park compare to Berkeley overall?
San Pablo Park scores 1.2 points higher than Berkeley overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,754 vs $2,133.
Q3
What is the average rent in San Pablo Park?
Average gross rent in San Pablo Park is $1,754/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of San Pablo Park residents are renters?
43% of San Pablo Park households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Berkeley). The neighborhood has 3,476 residents.
Q5
Is San Pablo Park a high social-vulnerability area?
San Pablo Park sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is San Pablo Park for landlords?
San Pablo Park carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Berkeley as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of San Pablo Park?
San Pablo Park has 3,438 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (47.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17%), Hispanic / Latino (15.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
