South Berkeley Eviction Risk: High

69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.1/10. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Average gross rent is $1,947, 9% below the Berkeley average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.