Skip to content
Neighborhood · Berkeley, CA

South Berkeley Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 9,091 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.8/10 · range 8.8–8.9

South Berkeley spans 2 census tracts of Berkeley, CA and houses 9,091 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.8/10, placing it in the High tier. Cost burden runs 48% against 34.0% citywide, putting South Berkeley 13.8% over its own city.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is housing-court posture at 7.5/10. 4.9% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Among the 22 mapped neighborhoods of Berkeley, it ranks #14 by risk, the middle third. For a like-for-like read, North Berkeley and Gourmet Ghetto score within a fraction of it.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.1 points apart at the extremes. Average gross rent runs $2,177, close to the Berkeley average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $115,609. 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 8.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.8
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
South Berkeley vs Berkeley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.8% +41%
Berkeley: 34.0%
Average gross rent
$2,177 +2%
Berkeley: $2,133
Average HH income
$115,609 +6%
Berkeley: $108,558
Poverty rate
12.3% -27%
Berkeley: 16.8%
Renter share
62.9% +13%
Berkeley: 55.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Berkeley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 8.8–8.9

Why South Berkeley scores 8.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 2.7–3.3 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–3.7 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

South Berkeley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Berkeley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.South Berkeley: 8.88.8South BerkeleyNeighborhoodParent city: 8.68.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in South Berkeley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001423500 8.9 3,540 53% $1,947
06001423400 8.8 5,551 45% $2,324
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 51%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 95%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Berkeley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Berkeley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Berkeley?

South Berkeley scores 8.8/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Berkeley compare to Berkeley overall?

South Berkeley scores 0.2 points higher than Berkeley overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,177 vs $2,133.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Berkeley?

Average gross rent in South Berkeley eviction risk is $2,177/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Berkeley residents are renters?

63% of South Berkeley households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Berkeley). The neighborhood has 9,091 residents.
Q5

Is South Berkeley a high social-vulnerability area?

South Berkeley sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Berkeley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Berkeley is census tract 06001423500 (score 8.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.8 to 8.9, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is South Berkeley for landlords?

South Berkeley eviction risk carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Berkeley as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Berkeley?

South Berkeley has 9,118 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50%), Hispanic / Latino (15.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Berkeley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Berkeley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Berkeley.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further