Centerville District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fremont

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 45.5% across Alameda County. At $3,495 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Fremont commands. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $168,750.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.