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Neighborhood · Fremont, CA

Centerville District Eviction Risk: Elevated

12 census tracts · pop 54,631 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10 · range 6–7.5

Centerville District spans 12 census tracts of Fremont, CA, population 54,631. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.4/10, in the Elevated tier. 45% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Fremont rate of 27.3%.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.6/10. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6 to 7.5, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Fremont, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Niles Junction and Irvington District.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,818, close to the Fremont average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $144,057. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
12 tracts · population-weighted
Centerville District vs Fremont How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.5% +63%
Fremont: 27.3%
Average gross rent
$2,818 -4%
Fremont: $2,933
Average HH income
$144,057 -18%
Fremont: $176,350
Poverty rate
5.7% +12%
Fremont: 5.1%
Renter share
54.3% +39%
Fremont: 39.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Centerville District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 12 tracts span score 6–7.5

Why Centerville District scores 6.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
5.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.1 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.0–8.0 across tracts
5.5
Risk score comparison

Centerville District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Centerville District score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Centerville Distri: 6.46.4Centerville DistriNeighborhoodParent city: 7.27.2Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Centerville District?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 6 to 7.5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

12 tracts in Centerville District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001441702 7.5 5,037 63% $2,650
06001442602 7.4 4,663 69% $2,496
06001441701 7.4 3,884 73% $2,143
06001441301 6.5 3,330 21% $3,080
06001441923 6.4 5,777 47% $2,801
06001441602 6.1 7,509 43% $2,717
06001442700 6.1 3,139 16% $3,181
06001441800 6 6,209 32% $3,054
06001441927 6 4,229 36% $2,825
06001442601 6 3,924 53% $3,495
06001442502 6 3,866 39% $2,600
06001441929 6 3,064 29% $2,989
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 12 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 25%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Centerville District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Centerville District

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Centerville District?

Centerville District scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 12 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Centerville District compare to Fremont overall?

Centerville District scores 0.8 points lower than Fremont overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,818 vs $2,933.
Q3

What is the average rent in Centerville District?

Average gross rent in Centerville District is $2,818/month (pop-weighted across 12 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Centerville District residents are renters?

54% of Centerville District households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Fremont). The neighborhood has 54,631 residents.
Q5

Is Centerville District a high social-vulnerability area?

Centerville District sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Centerville District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Centerville District is census tract 06001441702 (score 7.5/10). Across the 12 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 7.5, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Centerville District for landlords?

Centerville District carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 12 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fremont as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Centerville District?

Centerville District has 54,679 residents. Top groups: Asian (non-Hispanic) (51%), White (non-Hispanic) (22.3%), Hispanic / Latino (17.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Centerville District

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fremont

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Centerville District.

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