Curtner Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fremont

The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Alameda County average of 45.5%. It sits 1.8 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Fremont commands.

12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.