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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Autumn Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Livermore

Tract 06001451403 · Alameda, CA · pop 2,184 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 06001451403 covers part of the Autumn Springs area of Livermore, CA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 9% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units767
Renter share14.5%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$190,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Autumn Springs
Very Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 19 tracts In Livermore
Elevated
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#353 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Very Low
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#7,883 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Livermore and the region

Centroid at 37.6912, -121.7843 · click any tract to drill in

Why Autumn Springs scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Livermore
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,850 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Livermore
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Livermore
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Livermore
5.0

How Autumn Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Autumn Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 451403Livermore: 6.66.6Livermoreparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Autumn Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Autumn Springs

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. It sits 2.3 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 40% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $190,284, annual rent is just 18%.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001451403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001451403?

Census tract 06001451403 in the Autumn Springs neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001451403?

Median gross rent is $2,850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001451403?

2.0% of residents in tract 06001451403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,184.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001451403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 27th, minority 59th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 06001451403 considered part of Autumn Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001451403 fall within Autumn Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001451403 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001451403 compare to Livermore overall?

Tract 06001451403 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Livermore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Livermore; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Livermore

Top eight tracts in Livermore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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