Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Autumn Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Livermore

Tract 06001451403 · Alameda, CA · pop 2,184 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 06001451403 belongs to Autumn Springs in Livermore, California. It is home to 2,184 residents and scores 5.3/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #41,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

40% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,850 a month against an average household income of $190,284 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 9% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units767

Renter share14.5%

SVI overall0.20

Poverty rate2.0%

Median income$190,284

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Livermore and the region

Centroid at 37.6912, -121.7843 · click any tract to drill in

Why Autumn Springs scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Livermore

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

2.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,850 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Livermore

7.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Livermore

6.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Livermore

5.0

How Autumn Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

8%Socioeconomic
27%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
41%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Autumn Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

9.7%Housing insecurity
4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
9.9%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
6.0%Transit barriers
6.2%No health insurance
16.0%Frequent mental distress
25.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Autumn Springs

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Livermore, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Alameda County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001451403

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001451403?

Census tract 06001451403 in the Autumn Springs neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001451403?

Median gross rent is $2,850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001451403?

2.0% of residents in tract 06001451403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,184.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001451403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 27th, minority 59th, housing 41th.

Is tract 06001451403 considered part of Autumn Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001451403 fall within Autumn Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001451403 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001451403 compare to Livermore overall?

Tract 06001451403 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Livermore at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Livermore; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Livermore

Top eight tracts in Livermore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.