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Neighborhood · Livermore, CA

Autumn Springs Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 8,815 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 5.5–6.1

Autumn Springs takes in 2 census tracts of Livermore, CA, population 8,815. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Livermore baseline of 32.9%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.5/10. 22% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10. That places it #3 of 8 neighborhoods in Livermore. For a like-for-like read, Portola Glen and Springtown score within a fraction of it.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.6 points apart at the extremes.

Average gross rent runs $2,687, close to the Livermore average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $136,427. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Autumn Springs vs Livermore How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.9% +40%
Livermore: 32.9%
Average gross rent
$2,687 +0%
Livermore: $2,677
Average HH income
$136,427 -11%
Livermore: $153,602
Poverty rate
5.4% +22%
Livermore: 4.4%
Renter share
34.6% +23%
Livermore: 28.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Autumn Springs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.5–6.1

Why Autumn Springs scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.3–8.3 across tracts
8.3
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
35% renter households · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
5.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.6 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.8–5.6 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Autumn Springs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Autumn Springs score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Autumn Springs: 6.06.0Autumn SpringsNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Autumn Springs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001451404 6.1 6,631 48% $2,633
06001451403 5.5 2,184 40% $2,850
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 49%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 32%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 75%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Autumn Springs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Autumn Springs

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Autumn Springs?

Autumn Springs scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Autumn Springs compare to Livermore overall?

Autumn Springs scores 0.6 points lower than Livermore overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,687 vs $2,677.
Q3

What is the average rent in Autumn Springs?

Average gross rent in Autumn Springs is $2,687/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Autumn Springs residents are renters?

35% of Autumn Springs households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Livermore). The neighborhood has 8,815 residents.
Q5

Is Autumn Springs a high social-vulnerability area?

Autumn Springs sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Autumn Springs have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Autumn Springs is census tract 06001451404 (score 6.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.5 to 6.1, a spread of 0.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Autumn Springs for landlords?

Autumn Springs carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Livermore as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Autumn Springs?

Autumn Springs has 8,739 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (48.4%), White (non-Hispanic) (39.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Autumn Springs

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Livermore

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Autumn Springs.

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