Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally
Autumn Springs Eviction Risk: Elevated , Livermore
Tract 06001451404 · Alameda, CA · pop 6,631 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 06001451404 sits in the Autumn Springs area of Livermore, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.6/10.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,181
Renter share41.2%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$118,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Livermore and the region
Centroid at 37.6853, -121.7804 · click any tract to drill in
Why Autumn Springs scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Livermore
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,633 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Livermore
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Livermore
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Livermore
5.0
How Autumn Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Autumn Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 12.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.6%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 17.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Autumn Springs
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. It sits 1.7 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8.
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.
That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.5/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 48% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Average gross rent is $2,633, close to the Livermore average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $118,688. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06001451404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001451404?
Census tract 06001451404 in the Autumn Springs neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06001451404?
Median gross rent is $2,633/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06001451404?
6.5% of residents in tract 06001451404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,631.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06001451404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 33th, minority 78th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 06001451404 considered part of Autumn Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001451404 fall within Autumn Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06001451404 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06001451404 compare to Livermore overall?
Tract 06001451404 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Livermore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Livermore; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Livermore
Top eight tracts in Livermore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Springtown
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Portola Glen
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
The Grove
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001451602
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
California Ranch
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Village II
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06001451103
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Autumn Springs
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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