Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Discovery Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06013304004 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 3,634
Census tract 06013304004 covers part of Discovery Bay, CA, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 61%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,516
Renter share9.6%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$141,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
National
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Discovery Bay and the region
Centroid at 37.8945, -121.6100 · click any tract to drill in
Why Discovery Bay scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Discovery Bay
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,567 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Discovery Bay
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Discovery Bay
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Discovery Bay
6.0
How Discovery Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.6%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 5.2%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Discovery Bay
Cost burden runs 70% here against 48.7% across Contra Costa County. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.2/10.
It sits 1.0 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
Average gross rent is $2,567, 15% below the Discovery Bay average. Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $141,667.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013304004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013304004?
Census tract 06013304004 in Discovery Bay scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013304004?
Median gross rent is $2,567/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013304004?
8.7% of residents in tract 06013304004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,634.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013304004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 20th, minority 45th, housing 4th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06013304004 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06013304004 compare to Discovery Bay overall?
Tract 06013304004 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Discovery Bay at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Discovery Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Discovery Bay
Top eight tracts in Discovery Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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