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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

East Richmond Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06013369001 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 7,347 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 06013369001 covers part of the East Richmond area of San Pablo, CA, and scores 9.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,347. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 29% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units2,621
Renter share66.4%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$71,991

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In East Richmond
Very High
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Richmond
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Very High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,681 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.9568, -122.3366 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Richmond scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,948 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
6.7

How East Richmond compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Richmond risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.1This tracttract 3690017.8Richmondparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Richmond. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Richmond

Against the Contra Costa County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $71,991, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Contra Costa County average of 48.7%. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. Nationally it ranks #3,797 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,948, close to the San Pablo average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013369001

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013369001?

Census tract 06013369001 in the East Richmond neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013369001?

Median gross rent is $1,948/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013369001?

10.2% of residents in tract 06013369001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,347.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013369001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 96th, minority 90th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 06013369001 considered part of East Richmond?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013369001 fall within East Richmond (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013369001 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013369001 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 06013369001 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Richmond at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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