East Richmond Eviction Risk: Moderate

Average gross rent is $3,501, 37% above the El Cerrito average. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.3% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the Contra Costa County average of 6.8.

Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.