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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

East Richmond Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06013385200 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 1,413 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 06013385200 covers part of the East Richmond area of El Cerrito, CA, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 14% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units548
Renter share21.2%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$132,115

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In East Richmond
Low
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 10 tracts In Richmond
Elevated
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#128 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
Moderate
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#6,120 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Richmond and the region

Centroid at 37.9275, -122.3087 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Richmond scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Richmond
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$3,458 rent vs county FMR
7.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Richmond
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Richmond
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Richmond
5.3

How East Richmond compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Richmond risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.5This tracttract 3852007.8Richmondparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Richmond. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Richmond

Cost burden runs 34% here against 48.7% across Contra Costa County. Average gross rent is $3,458, 36% above the El Cerrito average. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

The voucher gap is 28.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.9/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 2.3/10. SNAP participation runs 7.2% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #15,451 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.4/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013385200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013385200?

Census tract 06013385200 in the East Richmond neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013385200?

Median gross rent is $3,458/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013385200?

9.0% of residents in tract 06013385200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,413.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013385200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 71th, minority 71th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 06013385200 considered part of East Richmond?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013385200 fall within East Richmond (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013385200 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013385200 compare to Richmond overall?

Tract 06013385200 scores 6.5/10, lower than the parent city of Richmond at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Richmond eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Richmond

Top eight tracts in Richmond ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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