Richmond Annex Eviction Risk: Elevated , El Cerrito

At $3,501 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of El Cerrito commands. The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.1/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.9% against 14.2% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3/10.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Contra Costa County average of 6.8 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.