Census Tract · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029002402 · Kern, CA · pop 4,922 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Bakersfield

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 06029002402 in Bakersfield in Kern County ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,922 residents. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,755 a month while the average household earns $71,575 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 10% Owners 79%

Tract context

Occupied units1,216

Renter share21.2%

SVI overall0.77

Poverty rate15.0%

Median income$71,575

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3459, -118.9453 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

15.0% poverty · this tract

3.7

Supply constraint

$1,755 rent vs county FMR

7.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

87%Socioeconomic
74%Household composition
88%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.3%Housing insecurity
14.9%Utility-shutoff threat
34.2%Food insecurity
31.6%SNAP enrollment
16.8%Transit barriers
21.5%No health insurance
21.4%Frequent mental distress
37.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002402?

Census tract 06029002402 in Bakersfield scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029002402?

Median gross rent is $1,755/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002402?

15.0% of residents in tract 06029002402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,922.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 74th, minority 88th, housing 35th.

What share of households in tract 06029002402 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029002402 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002402 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.