Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06029002811 · Kern, CA · pop 3,524

Bakersfield anchors census tract 06029002811, which lands at 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 47th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,388 a month while the average household earns $172,083 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 6% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 4% Owners 94%

Tract context

Occupied units1,420

Renter share6.1%

SVI overall0.22

Poverty rate3.0%

Median income$172,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3371, -119.1201 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

3.0% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,388 rent vs county FMR

10.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

14%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.4%Housing insecurity
3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
5.8%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
4.4%No health insurance
12.7%Frequent mental distress
26.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Kern County average of 6.1 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002811

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002811?

Census tract 06029002811 in Bakersfield scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029002811?

Median gross rent is $2,388/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002811?

3.0% of residents in tract 06029002811 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,524.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002811?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 85th, minority 60th, housing 6th.

What share of households in tract 06029002811 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029002811 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002811 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.