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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Park West Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lake Forest

Tract 06059052408 · Orange, CA · pop 5,481 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 06059052408 in the Lake Park West area of Lake Forest, CA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,481. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.2/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 8% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,885
Renter share14.6%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$147,204

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Lake Park West
Very Low
Within parent city
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 14 tracts In Lake Forest
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#551 of 613 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#8,051 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.6493, -117.7048 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Park West scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.2

How Lake Park West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Park West risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0524086.6Lake Forestparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Park West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Park West

Average gross rent is $3,501, 31% above the Lake Forest average. Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

The voucher gap is 20.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Orange County average of 51.8%.

Food insecurity runs 7.4% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.1/10.

Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059052408

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052408?

Census tract 06059052408 in the Lake Park West neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059052408?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052408?

4.9% of residents in tract 06059052408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,481.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 21th, minority 53th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 06059052408 considered part of Lake Park West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052408 fall within Lake Park West (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059052408 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059052408 compare to Lake Forest overall?

Tract 06059052408 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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