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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Park West Eviction Risk: Elevated , Lake Forest

Tract 06059052410 · Orange, CA · pop 5,069 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

06059052410 is a census tract in the Lake Park West area of Lake Forest, CA. It scores 6.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,069. Against Orange County at 51.8%, 74% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 5% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,992
Renter share17.4%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$109,113

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Lake Park West
Very High
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 14 tracts In Lake Forest
Elevated
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#445 of 613 tracts In Orange
Low
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#6,893 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.6380, -117.7185 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Park West scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Forest
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,526 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Forest
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Forest
6.2

How Lake Park West compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Park West risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 0524106.6Lake Forestparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Park West. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Park West

The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.2/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent is $2,526, close to the Lake Forest average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059052410

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059052410?

Census tract 06059052410 in the Lake Park West neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059052410?

Median gross rent is $2,526/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059052410?

4.8% of residents in tract 06059052410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,069.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059052410?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 21th, minority 63th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 06059052410 considered part of Lake Park West?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059052410 fall within Lake Park West (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059052410 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059052410 compare to Lake Forest overall?

Tract 06059052410 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Forest at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Forest; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Forest

Top eight tracts in Lake Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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