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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Lyon Street Eviction Risk: Elevated , Tustin

Tract 06059074407 · Orange, CA · pop 6,707 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

For landlords sizing up the Lyon Street neighborhood of Tustin, census tract 06059074407 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,960 a month while the average household earns $60,677 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 84% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 55% Stable renters 30% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units1,844
Renter share84.2%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$60,677

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Lyon Street
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 16 tracts In Tustin
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 613 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#3,076 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tustin and the region

Centroid at 33.7379, -117.8422 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lyon Street scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tustin
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,960 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tustin
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tustin
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tustin
6.8

How Lyon Street compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lyon Street risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 074407Tustin: 7.87.8Tustinparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lyon Street. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lyon Street

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tustin, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Orange County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 31.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059074407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059074407?

Census tract 06059074407 in the Lyon Street neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059074407?

Median gross rent is $1,960/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059074407?

17.1% of residents in tract 06059074407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,707.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059074407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 82th, minority 93th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 06059074407 considered part of Lyon Street?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059074407 fall within Lyon Street (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059074407 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059074407 compare to Tustin overall?

Tract 06059074407 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Tustin at 7.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tustin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tustin

Top eight tracts in Tustin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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