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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Normal Heights Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073002201 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,361 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 06073002201 sits in the Normal Heights area of San Diego eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. Population here is 3,361. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 23% Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,425
Renter share66.9%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate29.5%
Median income$40,647

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In Normal Heights
High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#62 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7525, -117.1125 · click any tract to drill in

Why Normal Heights scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
29.5% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,590 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Normal Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Normal Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 002201San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Normal Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Normal Heights

Annualized rent equals 47% of average household income of $40,647, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 52.5% across San Diego County.

Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. At $1,590 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of San Diego commands.

SNAP participation runs 32.3% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Food insecurity runs 32.0% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073002201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073002201?

Census tract 06073002201 in the Normal Heights neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073002201?

Median gross rent is $1,590/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073002201?

29.5% of residents in tract 06073002201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,361.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073002201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 65th, minority 89th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 06073002201 considered part of Normal Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073002201 fall within Normal Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073002201 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073002201 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073002201 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06073002201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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