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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Little Mogadishu Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073002702 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,584 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 9.3/10, tract 06073002702 in the Little Mogadishu area of San Diego, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 23% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,928
Renter share54.1%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$80,090

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In Little Mogadishu
Very Low
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#82 of 328 tracts In San Diego
High
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 736 tracts In San Diego
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,347 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7542, -117.0728 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Mogadishu scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$2,018 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Little Mogadishu compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Mogadishu risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.39.3This tracttract 002702San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Mogadishu. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Mogadishu

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. It sits 1.7 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 52.5% across San Diego County.

At $2,018 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of San Diego commands. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $80,090. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073002702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073002702?

Census tract 06073002702 in the Little Mogadishu neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073002702?

Median gross rent is $2,018/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073002702?

11.6% of residents in tract 06073002702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,584.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073002702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 45th, minority 79th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 06073002702 considered part of Little Mogadishu?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073002702 fall within Little Mogadishu (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073002702 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073002702 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073002702 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06073002702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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