La Costa Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carlsbad

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the San Diego County average of 52.5%. It sits 1.8 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 25% above the Carlsbad average.

The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. Housing insecurity runs 5.0% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.