Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Carlsbad Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06073018000 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,507 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 06073018000 covers Downtown Carlsbad in Carlsbad, home to 3,507 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 66% of US census tracts.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,483 monthly, set against $96,103 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 77% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 38% Owners 23%

Tract context

Occupied units1,798

Renter share77.4%

SVI overall0.28

Poverty rate7.0%

Median income$96,103

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region

Centroid at 33.1548, -117.3500 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Carlsbad scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Carlsbad

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.0% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$2,483 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Carlsbad

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Carlsbad

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Carlsbad

6.1

How Downtown Carlsbad compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

23%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
43%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Carlsbad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.9%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
7.0%SNAP enrollment
5.2%Transit barriers
4.2%No health insurance
15.6%Frequent mental distress
22.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Carlsbad

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073018000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073018000?

Census tract 06073018000 in the Downtown Carlsbad neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073018000?

Median gross rent is $2,483/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073018000?

7.0% of residents in tract 06073018000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,507.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073018000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 7th, minority 43th, housing 69th.

Is tract 06073018000 considered part of Downtown Carlsbad?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073018000 fall within Downtown Carlsbad (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073018000 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073018000 compare to Carlsbad overall?

Tract 06073018000 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad

Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.