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Neighborhood · Carlsbad, CA

La Costa Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,264 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.8–5.8

La Costa Valley maps to a single census tract in Carlsbad, CA, population 5,264. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.8/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Against a Carlsbad baseline of 34.4%, 63% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 37%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 25% above the Carlsbad average of $2,808.

Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. 2.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation is 4.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Among the 13 mapped neighborhoods of Carlsbad, it ranks #7 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Cottage Row Carlsbad and La Costa. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $171,310. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
La Costa Valley vs Carlsbad How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.0% +83%
Carlsbad: 34.4%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +25%
Carlsbad: $2,808
Average HH income
$171,310 +23%
Carlsbad: $139,326
Poverty rate
4.0% -42%
Carlsbad: 6.9%
Renter share
32.6% -12%
Carlsbad: 37.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across La Costa Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.8–5.8

Why La Costa Valley scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
33% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
4.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Risk score comparison

La Costa Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

La Costa Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.La Costa Valley: 5.85.8La Costa ValleyNeighborhoodParent city: 7.27.2Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in La Costa Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073017601 5.8 5,264 63% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 38%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in La Costa Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About La Costa Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for La Costa Valley?

La Costa Valley scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does La Costa Valley compare to Carlsbad overall?

La Costa Valley scores 1.4 points lower than Carlsbad overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,808.
Q3

What is the average rent in La Costa Valley?

Average gross rent in La Costa Valley is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of La Costa Valley residents are renters?

33% of La Costa Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Carlsbad). The neighborhood has 5,264 residents.
Q5

Is La Costa Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

La Costa Valley sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is La Costa Valley for landlords?

La Costa Valley carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carlsbad as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of La Costa Valley?

La Costa Valley has 5,221 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.9%), Hispanic / Latino (12%), Other / Multiracial (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near La Costa Valley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carlsbad

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to La Costa Valley.

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