Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Carlsbad Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06073017902 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,089 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 06073017902, home to 3,089 residents in the Downtown Carlsbad area of Carlsbad, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.

About 72% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 57% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,397 a month while the average household earns $72,863 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 14% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units1,303

Renter share49.2%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate22.6%

Median income$72,863

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region

Centroid at 33.1518, -117.3400 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Carlsbad scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Carlsbad

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

22.6% poverty · this tract

5.7

Supply constraint

$2,397 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Carlsbad

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Carlsbad

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Carlsbad

6.1

How Downtown Carlsbad compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
41%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Carlsbad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.1%Housing insecurity
10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
22.2%Food insecurity
24.9%SNAP enrollment
11.7%Transit barriers
10.6%No health insurance
19.5%Frequent mental distress
32.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Carlsbad

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073017902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073017902?

Census tract 06073017902 in the Downtown Carlsbad neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073017902?

Median gross rent is $2,397/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073017902?

22.6% of residents in tract 06073017902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,089.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073017902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 44th, minority 76th, housing 41th.

Is tract 06073017902 considered part of Downtown Carlsbad?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073017902 fall within Downtown Carlsbad (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073017902 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073017902 compare to Carlsbad overall?

Tract 06073017902 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad

Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.